I was at a Cisco hosted Bay Area Exec Conference recently and heard two of their “Futurists” speak about 5 and 10 year technology horizons and potential/expected outcomes. Below are my notes from the 10 year / Dave Evans session – which I felt worthy of sharing.

10 year view of technology and the outcomes of network advancements..

The Net Effect. Dave Evans – Presentation-  Click Here

“Fire ain’t exactly what it used to be” –  Yogie Bera

@DaveTheFuturist – Twitter

• 2000 – Fixed computing
• 2013 – Mobility
• Today/forward – we are entering the “Internet Things” – more things than people connected to the Internet
• 10B things connected now, soon to be 50B
• Devices shifting from typical proxy to “in you” and around you

Current Information is sequestered in its content – no good way to access..

• Pills that have stomach acid activated sensors that connect to cell phones to inform that medicine has been taken…  – no more skipping your medicine – Click Here
• Slippers that indicate a fall occurred… etc.
• Cars aware of each other.

Connectivity to the cloud

• Within 10 years 100{d6f5a70bbf0a363c76b6e252c1d97c7463c17db3162d4982c3d27fd35262b223} of the populated world will have wireless.
• Within 10 years 100 Mbps to your wireless device.
• About 1.5 trillion devices could benefit from being connected – about 200 things per person
• We’ve become digital pack rats…. 1,000’s of digital pictures with intent to keep a few, good ones – but we keep all.
• CES  – proliferation of 4k x 2k displays – will be the norm about a year from now… Will double soon after (video footprint growing exponentially)
• Voxels is the 3d equivalent of a pixel…

A “Zetta-storm“.. is coming. (as a perspective of data collected and available – )

Cloud…..
 
Mobile devices are now supercomputers – have access to unimaginable compute in the cloud.

• Universal language translation real time via cloud – on your local device
• Microsoft translator hub – original test even retained accent of speaker.
• WolframAlfa  – computational knowledge – not search

• ask one question – get one, accurate answer:
• what was the population of san jose, ca in 1960
• who was the us president in 1952
• what is the speed of light 

• IBM/ “Watson” – what can you do when you get just one correct result…
• Face and emotion recognition…
• We are turning to where technology will adapt to us rather than us learning and adapting to new technology .
• Dextro image recognition – finds items of interest in pictures Click Here
• Can complete suduku puzzles based on visual examination
• Eulerian video magnification – medical and other use cases –    

• We can now detect heart rate, infrared/temperature – and actual Heath visually – think about your mirrors having built in sensors…
• Toyota looking at emotional recognition of drivers
• Augmented reality – mirror puts various clothes on you instead of trying them on
• Take picture of home and overlay new designs
• Google glass – in 10 Years AR contact lenses
• Gesture technology –
  • Leap Motion
  • The Myo – picks up electrical signals in the muscles…
  • Cisco StyleMe
  • Oblong’s g-speak
• Digital signage that know you… visual systems will recognize your sex, ethnicity to serve content specific to you
• TV will soon watch – will watch you to determine what your interests might be, adjust to appropriate content based on ages in audience..
• Brain-machine interfaces – prosthetics with closed loop capabilities exist today, exoskeletons may enable paralyzed humans to walk again

 3D Printing

• Additive manufacturing vs. subtractive
• Rapid innovation enabling
• The “Iron Man” movies – all suites were 3D printed
• 3D Shapes can print full scale homes and will be sent to the moon to fabricate housing before we arrive.
• Boeing believes that by 2050 they will be able to print an entire plane.
• Printing dinner will also be possible – 3D printed chocolate is available today
• “Chemputer” will print drugs at your home…
• Created and working towards printing organs and skin – human liver & hearts have already been done
• Check out “shape ways“
• In one to two decades you may shop online and print the device in your home.
• The FedEx and UPS of tomorrow is the network.
• Within 10 years one third of all physicians will retire – creating a gap vs. population growth and related needs.
• Image metrics – Emily on line video – artificial human..

• Interfaces that rival human beings – this will be the first line support for medicine, legal and other

Human 2.0

•  “Humans are entering a stage of self-designed evolution” – Stephen Hawking
• We could be the last of our species to die…
• Regardless of belief – humans will continue to live much longer… Born today may live to be 200-300years
• Technology is positioning health to be subjects the same curve/cycle as Moore’s law
• The 1st person to live to be 1,000 will be born in our life time.

 
The network is key to enabling the cloud/compute….